Every year I write an article to predict technology changes in the coming year. The article is one of the most read pages of this blog.
Thanks to Jonathan who came up with an idea to write an updated version due to the Coronavirus situation.
When thinking about and writing these types of articles, there are two easy traps:
- “We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten”. Well said Bill Gates.
- When thinking of the future, we base it on history. No one (except Bill Gates again) would have factored in Coronavirus when planning 2020. Richard Watson, a futurist author who I’ve mentioned several times on this site, calls these unthinkable unknowns “critical uncertainties”. In February 2020 we thought 2020 would be a great year, with a great economy and record UK employment. In April 2020 it’s easy to fall into the trap of 2020 & 21 being REALLY bad years.
So here goes…
Bob. In December 2021.
Bob’s alarm clock woke him up for work.
“Good morning Bob, it’s Friday 10th December 2021 and this is your morning briefing”.
This new, 5am alarm was still taking some getting used to.
“Here’s your appointments for today” his alarm continued.
“OK Google…” He said loudly, trying to not to wake up his wife. “…shut up.” Continue reading Life in December 2021